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Certainty and Belief: Difference between revisions
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*We have incomplete information and imperfect reasoning. And yet we often treat our conclusions as if they are as binary as God's omniscient knowledge, either absolutely true or obviously false. | *We have incomplete information and imperfect reasoning. And yet we often treat our conclusions as if they are as binary as God's omniscient knowledge, either absolutely true or obviously false. | ||
*Although we really don't think about these things in mathematical terms, anything falling from (51% - 100%) on your scale is a BELIEF that you currently hold (more likely true than not). Anything left of that is not a belief that you hold. | *Although we really don't think about these things in mathematical terms, anything falling from (51% - 100%) on your scale is a BELIEF that you currently hold (more likely true than not). Anything left of that is not a belief that you hold. | ||
*If every truth proposition that you've ever been faced with were represented by a dot on this scale, what would it look like? My hypothesis is that people who do good research and apply solid reasoning would have a greater dispersion of dots across the entire range while poor thinkers would tend to have more polarity (dots concentrated at the ends of the scale). In addition, I believe that humble, careful thinkers will tend to have more displacement in their graphs, that is, over time their beliefs (dots) would have shifted positions up or down the graph compared to people who are not. | *If every truth proposition that you've ever been faced with were represented by a dot on this scale, what would it look like? My hypothesis is that people who do good research and apply solid reasoning would have a greater dispersion of dots across the entire range while poor thinkers would tend to have more polarity (dots concentrated at the ends of the scale). In addition, I believe that humble, careful thinkers will tend to have more displacement in their graphs, that is, over time their beliefs (dots) would have shifted positions up or down the graph compared to people who are not.<ref>The above was written by Bryan Lynch</ref> | ||
=Grace vs. Doubt= | =Grace vs. Doubt= | ||